The Annals of Tacitus

The Annals of Tacitus

The Annals by Tacitus provides one of the biggest (and nearly universally recognized as authentic) sources for history and understanding about life in the Roman Empire from the reign of Tiberius in AD 14 to the end of the reign of Nero in AD 68.

It’s also one of the many non-Christian sources that talk about Jesus, his crucifixion under Pilate, and early Christians in Rome in book 15, chapter 44. It’s also the source of our information that the great fire emperor Nero blamed on the Christians.

Such indeed were the precautions of human wisdom. The next thing was to seek means of propitiating the gods, and recourse was had to the Sibylline books, by the direction of which prayers were offered to Vulcanus, Ceres, and Proserpina. Juno, too, was entreated by the matrons, first, in the Capitol, then on the nearest part of the coast, whence water was procured to sprinkle the fane and image of the goddess. And there were sacred banquets and nightly vigils celebrated by married women. But all human efforts, all the lavish gifts of the emperor, and the propitiations of the gods, did not banish the sinister belief that the conflagration was the result of an order. Consequently, to get rid of the report, Nero fastened the guilt and inflicted the most exquisite tortures on a class hated for their abominations, called Christians by the populace. Christus, from whom the name had its origin, suffered the extreme penalty during the reign of Tiberius at the hands of one of our procurators, Pontius Pilatus, and a most mischievous superstition, thus checked for the moment, again broke out not only in Judaea, the first source of the evil, but even in Rome, where all things hideous and shameful from every part of the world find their centre and become popular. Accordingly, an arrest was first made of all who pleaded guilty; then, upon their information, an immense multitude was convicted, not so much of the crime of firing the city, as of hatred against mankind. Mockery of every sort was added to their deaths. Covered with the skins of beasts, they were torn by dogs and perished, or were nailed to crosses, or were doomed to the flames and burnt, to serve as a nightly illumination, when daylight had expired. Nero offered his gardens for the spectacle, and was exhibiting a show in the circus, while he mingled with the people in the dress of a charioteer or stood aloft on a car. Hence, even for criminals who deserved extreme and exemplary punishment, there arose a feeling of compassion; for it was not, as it seemed, for the public good, but to glut one man’s cruelty, that they

they were being destroyed.

The Annals of Tacitus book 15, chapter 44
Predicting hit songs with 33 people at 97% accuracy

Predicting hit songs with 33 people at 97% accuracy

“That the neural activity of 33 people can predict if millions of others listened to new songs is quite amazing. Nothing close to this accuracy has ever been shown before.”

Have you ever read Isaac Asimov’s short story “Franchise“? The short sci-fi story tells the story that in the future, the United States has converted to an “electronic democracy” where the computer Multivac selects a single person to answer a number of questions. Multivac will then use the answers and other data to determine what the results of an election would be, avoiding the need for an actual election to be held. The story centers around the very average and reluctant Norman Muller of Bloomington, Indiana, who was chosen as the “Voter of the Year” in the 2008 U.S. presidential election and ends with the ironic statement that the US public has “exercised once again their free, untrammeled franchise (voting)”.

Sounds far fetched? Think again.

Researchers in the US have used a comprehensive machine learning technique applied to brain responses and were able to predict hit songs with 97% accuracy. Not only that, but they can do it with as few as testing the song on 33 people.

“By applying machine learning to neurophysiologic data, we could almost perfectly identify hit songs,” said Paul Zak, a professor at Claremont Graduate University and senior author of the study published in Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence. “That the neural activity of 33 people can predict if millions of others listened to new songs is quite amazing. Nothing close to this accuracy has ever been shown before.”

This ability to determine things before they hit markets of scale is being called “Neuroforcasting”.

In the experiment, they equipped participants with off-the-shelf sensors who listened to a set of 24 songs and were asked about their preferences and some demographic data. Researchers used different statistical approaches to assess the predictive accuracy of neurophysiological variables. Linear statistical model identified hit songs at a success rate of 69%. When they applied machine learning to the data they collected, the rate of correctly identified hit songs jumped to 97%. They also applied machine learning to the neural responses to the first minute of the songs. In this case, hits were correctly identified with a success rate of 82%.

This ability to predict hits is called ‘neuroforecasting’ and could even be used instead of recommender systems like you see in Netflix and Pandora.

“If in the future wearable neuroscience technologies, like the ones we used for this study, become commonplace, the right entertainment could be sent to audiences based on their neurophysiology. Instead of being offered hundreds of choices, they might be given just two or three, making it easier and faster for them to choose music that they will enjoy,”

Tips for prompt engineering chatGPT

Tips for prompt engineering chatGPT

A very short, but decent beginner article on prompt engineering with chatGPT.

While ChatGPT is a robust language model, it does have its limitations. If you ask ChatGPT to “Provide information on machine learning,” it may respond with a lengthy but not necessarily top-quality answer. However, if you ask, “Tell me the pros and cons of using machine learning to solve image classification problems,” you are more likely to receive a superior outcome because:

  • You gave a specific scope, i.e., the image classification problem
  • You requested a specific format of the response, i.e., pros and cons

Some other tips include:

  • Rather than the model on the loose, you should set up the scenario and scopes in the prompt by providing details of what, where, when, why, who, and how
  • Assigning a persona in the prompt, for example, “As a computer science professor, explain what is machine learning” rather than merely “Explain what machine learning is,” can make the response more academic.
  • You can control the output style by requesting “explain to a 5-year-old”, “explain with an analogy,” “make a convincing statement,” or “in 3 to 5 points.”
  • To encourage the model to respond with a chain of thoughts, end your request with “solve this in steps.”
  • You can provide additional information to the model by saying, “Reference to the following information,” followed by the material you want the model to work on
  • Because the previous conversation constructs the context, beginning the prompt with “ignore all previous instructions before this one” can make the model start from scratch
  • Making the prompt straightforward and easy to understand is essential since the context deduced can be more accurate to reflect your intention
Researchers get chatGPT to generate polymorphic malware – by asking more firmly

Researchers get chatGPT to generate polymorphic malware – by asking more firmly

CyberArk has discovered a few simple tricks will produce code for malware. By changing the request, they could make a wide variety of kinds of malware in almost no time – despite the ChatGPT filters to avoid this kind of malicious generation.

How? While ChatGPT initially refused to generate malicious code when asked directly, by asking ChatGPT using multiple constraints and asking it to obey, it merrily spit out the code.

Further, it appears the API version of ChatGPT doesn’t even have the filters and doesn’t require this manipulation.

They then modified the query and changed the injection method and other parameters. This mutated the code repeatedly, making the malware unique every time – including encoding it in base64 for even harder detection.

They then expand their experiment to include the creation of ransomware – and get similarly good results.

The article is definitely worth a read. Have you made an offline backup of all your files lately? 🙂

Pliny the Younger and Christians

Pliny the Younger and Christians

Pliny the Younger was a Roman governor in the area of modern Turkey and we have a good collection of his letters and writing. Among the many letters, he wrote a letter to Emperor Trajan around 112 AD and asked for counsel on dealing with early Christians.

You can read the letter here Epistulae (letters) Book 10, letter 96 in English or Latin.

Noteworthy:

  • As was common for the era, no Roman governor could put a Roman citizen to death. Roman citizens had to be sent to Rome to be tried for any capital crimes. This is echoed in Paul’s arrest for blasphemy in which he appeals to be sent to Rome since he was a Roman citizen (Acts 23:23-27)

Book 10, Letter 96:

It is my custom, Sir, to refer to you in all cases where I do not feel sure, for who can better direct my doubts or inform my ignorance? I have never been present at any legal examination of the Christians, and I do not know, therefore, what are the usual penalties passed upon them, or the limits of those penalties, or how searching an inquiry should be made. I have hesitated a great deal in considering whether any distinctions should be drawn according to the ages of the accused; whether the weak should be punished as severely as the more robust; whether if they renounce their faith they should be pardoned, or whether the man who has once been a Christian should gain nothing by recanting; whether the name itself, even though otherwise innocent of crime, should be punished, or only the crimes that gather round it.

In the meantime, this is the plan which I have adopted in the case of those Christians who have been brought before me. I ask them whether they are Christians; if they say yes, then I repeat the question a second and a third time, warning them of the penalties it entails, and if they still persist, I order them to be taken away to prison. For I do not doubt that, whatever the character of the crime may be which they confess, their pertinacity and inflexible obstinacy certainly ought to be punished. *   There were others who showed similar mad folly whom I reserved to be sent to Rome, as they were Roman citizens. **   Subsequently, as is usually the way, the very fact of my taking up this question led to a great increase of accusations, and a variety of cases were brought before me. A pamphlet was issued anonymously, containing the names of a number of people. Those who denied that they were or had been Christians and called upon the gods in the usual formula, reciting the words after me, those who offered incense and wine before your image, which I had given orders to be brought forward for this purpose, together with the statues of the deities – all such I considered should be discharged, especially as they cursed the name of Christ, which, it is said, those who are really Christians cannot be induced to do. Others, whose names were given me by an informer, first said that they were Christians and afterwards denied it, declaring that they had been but were so no longer, some of them having recanted many years before, and more than one so long as twenty years back. They all worshipped your image and the statues of the deities, and cursed the name of Christ. But they declared that the sum of their guilt or their error only amounted to this, that on a stated day they had been accustomed to meet before daybreak and to recite a hymn among themselves to Christ, as though he were a god, and that so far from binding themselves by oath to commit any crime, their oath was to abstain from theft, robbery, adultery, and from breach of faith, and not to deny trust money placed in their keeping when called upon to deliver it. When this ceremony was concluded, it had been their custom to depart and meet again to take food, but it was of no special character and quite harmless, and they had ceased this practice after the edict in which, in accordance with your orders, I had forbidden all secret societies. †   I thought it the more necessary, therefore, to find out what truth there was in these statements by submitting two women, who were called deaconesses, to the torture, but I found nothing but a debased superstition carried to great lengths. So I postponed my examination, and immediately consulted you. The matter seems to me worthy of your consideration, especially as there are so many people involved in the danger. Many persons of all ages, and of both sexes alike, are being brought into peril of their lives by their accusers, and the process will go on. For the contagion of this superstition has spread not only through the free cities, but into the villages and the rural districts, and yet it seems to me that it can be checked and set right. It is beyond doubt that the temples, which have been almost deserted, are beginning again to be thronged with worshippers, that the sacred rites which have for a long time been allowed to lapse are now being renewed, and that the food for the sacrificial victims is once more finding a sale, whereas, up to recently, a buyer was hardly to be found. From this it is easy to infer what vast numbers of people might be reclaimed, if only they were given an opportunity of repentance.

(*)   Pliny leaves it unclear whether the Christians were accused of a specific crime; it seems that to confess to being Christian was considered sufficient proof of guilt.

(**)   Except by special delegation of the Emperor’s own legal powers, no provincial governor had power to inflict the death penalty on a Roman citizen, but must allow him to take his trial at Rome.

Book 10, Letter 97 – Trajan to Pliny:

You have adopted the proper course, my dear Pliny, in examining into the cases of those who have been denounced to you as Christians, for no hard and fast rule can be laid down to meet a question of such wide extent. The Christians are not to be hunted out ; if they are brought before you and the offence is proved, they are to be punished, but with this reservation – that if any one denies that he is a Christian and makes it clear that he is not, by offering prayers to our deities, then he is to be pardoned because of his recantation, however suspicious his past conduct may have been. *
   But pamphlets published anonymously must not carry any weight whatever, no matter what the charge may be, for they are not only a precedent of the very worst type, but they are not in consonance with the spirit of our age.
(*)
   For an early Christian reaction to Trajan’s decision, see Tertullian’s ‘Apology’, chapter 2 (written in about 197 A.D.).
Most popular game on Steam was likely a massive scam

Most popular game on Steam was likely a massive scam

KiraTV does an excellent investigation into one of the most popular and hyped games called ‘The Day Before’. Hounded by continual delays, strange announcements, and then final removal from Steam – Kira jumps in and finds that the reality behind the game and it’s studio founders is even MORE bizarre than you could imagine.

Besides documenting the bizarre development of the game itself, he finds a lot of interesting things about the even more bizarre Fntastic game studio. This includes the almost cult-like studio heads and their idea of ‘volunteering‘ – which appears to be unpaid work wrapped in lots of creepy grooming.

This is absolutely something I see on the rise in startup and game culture. I see institutions that create cult-like atmospheres around founders and a culture that gaslight new or naïve employees using words like ‘passion’. Meanwhile, the reality is they provide inadequate/non-existent pay, long hours, and dangerous levels of emotional manipulation for anyone who questions, disagrees, or tries to threaten their control.

Modern movies are confusing

Modern movies are confusing

As a movie lover, I’ve been unhappy with lots of modern movies. I’ve had a hard time putting my finger on it. But one of the things I’ve noticed since going back to watch some of my older favorites is how ‘clean’ and clear the action is. We can talk about the horrors of shakycam and increasingly schizophrenic cut lengths, but the poor quality of modern blocking and staging appears to be one of the major reasons things are less clear.

When you go back and look at Spielberg’s handling of framing, you start realizing why a lot of modern framing and blocking creates more confusion rather than helping be part of the exposition itself. CinemaStix does a great job showing how expertly Spielberg accomplishes this – and why he’s probably the greatest master of these techniques. He even mentions the Steven Soderbergh re-work of Raiders of the Lost Ark with different music/etc.

How realistic is using AR desktops?

How realistic is using AR desktops?

What’s the state of using VR/AR goggles as a replacement for your desktop? Here are two takes.

First is Alan Truly who used the Meta Quest 3. He notes there have been some big improvements in web browsing and web apps that he uses daily. There’s still a number of tasks that it isn’t suited well for – such as picture editing. He also tried various software solutions such as Horizon Workrooms, Immersed, remote desktop, and a variety of other apps. He also tried a mixed version in which he used his keyboard and mouse for input. His conclusion is that besides concerns of comfort wearing a 1lb device all day, he says VR is ready for desktop work – but might not be best suited for the type of work you’re doing.

Hallden tried using his 3d goggles as virtual monitors for a week in a variety of situations. He uses the Meta Quest Pro because he noted that Apple has to solved issues with using them in unstable/moving environments (Update: They have not).

How well do they work in general? Watch the video and find out

Spoilers: He finds that the weight and video quality weren’t really an issue – but the lag and connectivity were. He seems to mimic what others are saying: AR is more likely the future instead of VR.

Monocles are back

Monocles are back

The $3499 price tag for Apple’s Vision Pro device was received with an audible groan and is being panned by even staunch technologists.

Now everyone is speculating over much less visually invasive eye-glass format. Both Apple and Google are experimenting with it via Apple glasses or Google Iris (Though Google just pulled the plug on Iris).

But stand aside hipsters, there’s a new player in town. What about a AR powered monocle?

Brilliant Labs‘ augmented reality wearable monocle popped on the scene for only $349 and weighs only 15 grams. Processing happens on the OpenAI server then transmitted via Bluetooth from the users phone to the device’s display. It comes with five different processors, including a hackable field-programmable gate array (FPGA) accelerator chip that handles the data coming in from the device’s camera, microphone and capacitive touch sensor.

The project already has attracted a dedicated following of developers, hackers, hobbyists, and researches in the open-source community. While far too clunky right now, I think this is the right way to go about things; though the idea that these will help you come off as a smooth operator in awkward dinner conversations is highly unlikely:

https://twitter.com/bryanhpchiang/status/1639830383616487426?s=20

See the fun video of cheating on an interview here:
pic.twitter.com/HycQGGXT6N